城镇化进程中劳动力技能结构演进趋势及技能开发响应策略——基于省际动态面板数据的实证分析

Evolution Trends of Labor Skill Structure and the Response Strategies of Skills Development in the Process of Urbanization——Empirical Analysis Based on Inter-provincial Dynamic Panel Data

基于省际动态面板数据,研究城镇化对劳动力技能结构的影响,研究发现:城镇化对低、中、高技能劳动力的影响有所差异;在城镇化的不同阶段,低、中、高技能劳动力的变动趋势存在差异;在当前新型城镇化阶段,城镇化对劳动力的影响并非是极化效应,而是升级效应。针对上述分析结论,具体政策建议是:关注新型城镇化转型趋势,满足劳动力技能开发投入需求;适应新型城镇化产业结构变化趋势,增加中、高技能劳动力培训投入;适应新型城镇化人口供给新趋势,增加劳动力技能开发政策投入等。

Based on inter-provincial dynamic provincial panel data,this paper studies the impact of urbanization on labor skills structure.The results show that urbanization has different effects on low,medium and high skilled labor;at different stages of urbanization,the changing trends of low,medium and high skilled labor force have certain differences;in the current new urbanization stage,the impact of urbanization on the labor force is not a polarization effect,but an upgrading effect.On this basis,it is proposed to pay attention to the transformation trend of new-urbanization and meet the input demand of labor skill development;adapt to the changing trend of new-urbanization industrial structure,and increase the training input of medium and high skilled labor;in response to the new trend of population supply in new-urbanization,increase policy input in the development of labor skills.