基于“五大发展理念”的中国少数民族地区高质量发展评价

Evaluation of High Quality Development in Ethnic Minority Areas of China Based on “Five Development Concepts”

本文以党的十九大提出的"高质量发展"为理论指导,以"五大发展理念"为主要内涵,利用主成分分析法构建了2004-2015年少数民族地区高质量发展综合指标体系。并对时间、区间差异进行了影响因素分析。研究发现,总体来看,少数民族地区逐渐走上高质量发展的道路。在样本期内,所有指标对于少数民族省区高质量发展的贡献完成了由最初的"拖后腿"到如今的积极推动作用;"创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享"五个发展要素对少数民族地区高质量发展的贡献率不断增加,均呈现波动上涨趋势;各个发展要素对于少数民族地区发展的促进作用具有一定差异,其中绿色发展和开放发展对少数民族地区的拉动作用最显著,而创新发展、协调发展和共享发展的推动潜力有待进一步激发;各省区之间由于产业结构、经济基础和资源禀赋等方面的差异,吸收五大发展理念的拉动力存在一定的异质性。

Based on the theory of"High Quality Development"proposed by the 19 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China(CPC)as the theoretical guidance and"Five Development Concepts"as the main content,this paper tries to build up an ethnic minority area high quality development comprehensive indicator system for 2004-2015 by using principal component analysis(PCA).The study found that,on the whole,ethnic minority areas have gradually embarked on the road of high-quality development.During the sample period,all indicators have contributed to the high-quality development of ethnic minority areas significantly.Among the five development concepts of"innovating,coordinating,green,open,and sharing",green development and open development have shown the most outstanding promoting effect.Due to the differences in industrial structure,economic foundation and resource endowment among respective provinces and regions,the promotion effects for the five development concepts are also diversified as a result.