摘要
以云南省为研究对象,选取16个州市2011—2017年的面板数据为研究样本,通过Panel-var模型对普惠金融发展、经济增长与城乡收入差距三者之间的动态交互关系进行实证分析,结果表明:云南省普惠金融发展程度较低,并未使得三者之间实现良性互动;普惠金融发展是经济增长及城乡收入差距的单向格兰杰原因,并且对经济增长与城乡收入差距有促进及扩大作用,但是作用程度较小;经济增长与城乡收入差距之间并无格兰杰关系,但是经济增长与普惠金融发展二者并存是城乡收入差距的格兰杰原因,对城乡收入差距有扩大作用;城乡收入差距与普惠金融发展并存是经济增长的格兰杰原因,对经济增长有促进作用;云南省普惠金融发展具有内生性机制。据此提出相关政策建议。
The paper takes Yunnan Province as the research object,and the panel data of 16 prefectures and cities of Yunnan from 2011 to 2017 as research samples,aiming to make an empirical analysis on the dynamic interaction relationships among inclusive financial development,economic growth and urban-rural income gap.Results show that the low level of inclusive financial development of Yunnan cannot lead to the positive interaction among the three variables.Inclusive financial development is the one-way Granger causality of economic growth and urban-rural income gap,and it promotes and expands economic growth and urban-rural income gap,but the effect is not strong enough.There is no Granger relationship between economic growth and urban-rural income gap.However,the coexistence of economic growth and inclusive financial development is the Granger cause of urban-rural income gap,which expands the income gap.The coexistence of urban-rural income gap and inclusive financial development is the Granger cause of economic growth,which promotes economic growth.The inclusive financial development of Yunnan has endogenous mechanism.Based on these,policy suggestions are proposed.
作者
杨虹
张柯
YANG Hong;ZHANG Ke(School of Economics,Yunnan Minzu University,Kunming 650500,China)
出处
《云南财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第5期52-65,共14页
Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金地区项目“西部资源型产业技术创新战略联盟稳定性建模及协同机制研究”(71663062)
关键词
普惠金融发展
经济增长
城乡收入差距
Inclusive Financial Development
Economic Growth
Urban-rural Income Gap