职业教育规划需要人才需求预测的优化

Optimization of Talent Demand Forecast in Vocational Education Planning

近年来,国内发布了许多人才需求报告,这些人才需求报告对于职业院校规划有着重要的指导意义。进一步分析发现,当前人才需求报告中存在三方面问题:一是人才需求分析与预测对职业院校规划的关联和支撑有待明确;二是人才需求报告编写的协同性和合作性有待提高;三是科学合理的人才需求预测模型应该得到更加广泛的运用。未来,需要开发和利用更加合理的人才需求预测模型,提高人才需求报告的编写质量,不断强化其对职业教育规划科学性的支撑作用,这对于行业人才需求预测和职业院校办学的指导具有重要意义。

In recent years,many talent demand reports have been published in China.Through analysis of the basic structure and contents of these reports,it is found that the industry talent demand reports have important guiding significance for the planning of vocational colleges.Further analysis shows that there are three problems in the current talent demand reports.First,the relationship and support of talent demand analysis and forecast to the planning of vocational colleges need to be clarified;second,the synergy and cooperation in the preparation of talent demand reports need to be improved;third,the scientific and reasonable talent demand forecast model should be widely used.In the future,it is necessary to develop and utilize a more reasonable talent demand forecasting model,improve the compilation quality of talent demand reports,and continuously strengthen its supporting role in the scientific planning of vocational education,which is of great significance for the industry talent demand forecasting and the guidance of running vocational colleges.