中国农业现代化发展水平的定量综合评价

Econometrics Evaluation of China Agricultural Modernization

利用多级指标综合指数分析方法,通过建立中国农业现代化评价指标体系,用层次分析法确立权重,根据建立的农业现代化评价模型,采用中国统计年鉴(1980-2004年)、中国农业统计年鉴(1980-2004年)等年鉴数据,从1980-2003年,对我国农业现代化的发展水平、发展阶段进行了定量评价和动态监测,并预测了中国农业现代化发展水平。

Using the method of synthesized multi index analysis,by establishing China agricultural modernization accession model,using AHP analysis method to define index weight,adapting the data which coming from China statistic year book(1980-2004),China agricultural statistic year book(1980-2004),the development level,development step of China agricultural modernization is evaluated and dynamic inspirited,and also forecasted its future development level.