我国煤炭企业市场风险预警体系及标准研究

Study on the Market Risk Forewarning System and Standard for Coal Enterprises

市场风险是煤炭企业运营的首要风险,能否在风险转变为危机之前准确地预警,直接关系到煤炭企业的生存和发展。在对一般企业市场风险分析的基础上,将市场风险分为价格风险、销售风险、收款风险和信用风险,并结合煤炭企业市场风险的特征和现阶段我国煤炭行业的特点,构建了煤炭企业市场风险预警指标体系;然后以2006-2009年我国国有重点煤炭企业为研究样本,采用因子分析法和聚类分析法构建了煤炭企业市场风险预警模型和预警标准。

Market risk is the primary risk of coal business operations.The forewarning of crisis is directly related to the survival and development of coal enterprises.Based on the analysis of enterprise market risk,this paper,dividing the market risk into price risk,sale risk,payment risk and credit risk,and combining the characteristics of the coal enterprise market risk and Chinese coal industry,builds the market risk forewarning index system for coal enterprises.At the same time,this paper,using factor analysis and cluster analysis,constructs market risk forewarning model and standard for coal enterprises based on the sample of Chinese state-owned large coal enterprises in 2006-2009.