上海市廉租房准入标准对保障规模的影响分析

The Impact of Low-rent Housing' s Access Standards on Security Scale in Shanghai

上海自2000年开始在全国率先实施廉租房制度以来,不断调整准入标准,扩大廉租房受益面,但在实施过程中产生了种种问题,影响了廉租房的保障效果。保障规模是衡量廉租房政策效果的关键指标之一,它受到准入标准等诸多因素的影响。本文从上海市宏观统计数据出发,在基尼系数不变和人均住房面积服从x^2分布的假设下,预测了上海市未来六年的准入标准变化及其对政府资金投入的影响,为廉租房政策的完善提供依据。研究表明:(1)廉租房的准入标准是遵循城市发展规律的测算结果;(2)放宽准入标准,扩大廉租房政策的受益面,会增加政府的财政投入。

As the first city to implement the low-rent housing policy in China,Shanghai has continuously loosened the access standards of low-rent housing and largely expanded the beneficial range since 2000.But various problems arise in the process of implementing the low-rent housing policy,which affect its performance.Security scale is one of the key indicators relating to the low-rent housing policy and it is restricted by the access standards.With the constant Gini Coefficient(i.e.population structure remains unchanged)and the chi-square distribution of per capita housing area,this paper analyzes and predicts the change of access standards and its influence on the government expenditure in next 6 years,on the base of the public statistical data of Shanghai.It could offer the references for related policy revision.It concluded that;(1)the access standard of low-rent housing is calculated follow the law of city development; (2)to loosen the access standard and enlarge the benefit range of low-rent housing policy will increase the fiscal expenditure.