长江三角洲新型城镇化发展问题与态势的判断

Analyzing the patterns and processes of new urbanization development in the Yangtze River Delta

长江三角洲地区是中国经济最发达、人口最密集、城镇化进程较快的地区。当下,面对全球化深入发展、国家及区域经济社会转型等背景及资源环境瓶颈压力趋大等因素交互影响,长三角城镇化发展特征和格局出现了新的变化。城镇化发展关系经济社会发展各个方面,更是与人口、资源、经济要素的流动及变化息息相关。因此对长三角城镇化发展态势的研究,从人口流动、用地变化、经济增长等要素演化及其互动协调关系入手,进而对城镇化与工业化进程、土地与人口城镇化的步调、城市外来人口的市民化走势、城乡关系中的乡村衰退与复兴趋势、城镇化发展的粗放与集约等关系问题进行了深入分析和探讨,并提出相应的发展路径与制度建议以及今后新型城镇化需要进一步研究的主要科学问题。

As the most developed and the most densely populated region in China, the Yangtze River Delta has underwent fast urbanization. The interaction of external development environments, such as globalization, economic and social transition within the national and regional contexts, and increasing internal pressures from environments pollution as well as resources consumption, has led to the evolution of new characteristics and patterns of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta. The process of urbanization impacts the economic and social development of the region, particularly the increasing population, resources and some other economic elements. This article first examines the evolution and relationship between population migration, land use change and economic growth. It then analyses the process of industrialization and urbanization, the urbanization pace in terms of land and population, the trends in migration, the recession and renaissance of the rural, the extensive and intensive areas during the urbanization process and so on. Finally, we propose some development pathways and strategies for institutions as well as important scientific issues on the new urbanization for future research.