综合集成系统建模

Meta-Synthetic System Modeling

主要研究以综合集成方法进行复杂系统建模。首先简要介绍综合集成方法研究中一些调查成果和研究思考 ,此后以宏观经济问题为主介绍了综合集成系统建模的 6种策略 ,并以同步—异步—同步的专家研讨分析流程简练地体现从定性到定量综合集成的过程。以此设计的试验在国际应用系统分析研究所进行了展示。

In this paper, meta-synthesis approach to complex system modeling is addressed. At first, investigations and thinking in study of meta-synthesis approach are introduced. Then six modeling strategies toward macroeconomic problem are addressed. An argumentation and analysis process with a synchronous-asynchronous-synchronous flow is applied to briefly exhibit the meta-synthetic modeling process from qualitative hypothesis to quantitative validation. A test based on such a rationale is taken at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis for active comments.