浅释中国地区收入差距:1952—2002

Understanding the Regional Income Disparity in China, 1952—2002

本文对解释中国半个世纪以来地区收入差距演变的各种假说进行了归纳、分析与检验 ,同时提出并检验了 2个主要假说和 4个推论。使用弹性分析与条件收敛分析检验了人力与物质资本、农业生产结构、城乡差距、产业结构、产权结构、政府规模、企业规模、户口结构等多组解释变量对经济增长与收敛的影响 ,并估计了其影响力。上述检验较好地验证了各种竞争性与互补性假说 ,以及本文提出的假说与推论。

The paper analyzes main hypotheses aiming to explain the dynamics of regional disparities in China during the 1952—2002 period and constructs its own hypotheses based on the stylized facts. It uses data on economic development in the Chinese provinces to investigate the competing and/or complementary hypotheses. The findings reveal that the over-regulation in labor market, as well as industry structure, urban-rural inequality, etc. play important roles in the regional income growth and convergence.