GM(1,1)模型灰色预测法预测城市人口规模

Application of the Grey Model to Forecasting Scale of Urban Population

以1992～2001年呼和浩特市人口数据资料为依据,应用灰色系统理论构建GM(1,1)人口预测模型,统计检验和误差分析表明,模型精度较高.用该模型预测了呼和浩特市2005～2009年城市人口规模,并对预测结果进行了分析.

On the basis of data of 1992~2001 population,GM(1,1) model which is set up by applying the gray system theory is used to forecast and analyze urban population data of 2005~2009 year in Huhhot after the model examined.