对中国老年贫困人口的估计

An Estimate of the Poor Elderly Population in China

利用中国老龄科研中心 2 0 0 0年 1 2月组织的“中国城乡老年人口状况一次性抽样调查”数据 ,经过加权处理后对中国 ,中国的城市和农村 ,以及调查到的省、市、自治区和直辖市的贫困老年人口的比例和规模进行了估计。结果发现 ,调查的 2 0个地区中 ,老年人贫困问题最严重的地区是云南、陕西、山东、安徽和湖北 ,情况比较好的除了上海、北京和天津 3个直辖市以外 ,还有浙江、福建、黑龙江等地区。 2 0 0 0年 1 1月 1日全国贫困老年人占全部老年人口的比例为 1 7 5 % ,全国贫困老年人口总量为 2 2 74

In this paper, we provide an estimate of the magnitude and the proportion of the aged poor population by place of residence and by province in China, based on “China Cross-sectional Rural-Urban Elderly Sample Survey” conducted by the China Aging Research Center in December 2000. We find that, of the 20 provincial units, Yunnan, Shanxi, Shandong, Anhui, and Hubei had the highest proportion of the poor population among the elderly. A better situation in aged poverty was observed in Zhejiang, Fujian, and Heilongjiang provinces, in addition to Shanghai, Beijing, and Tianjin. As estimated, the proportion of aged poor among the total elderly population in China on November 1st, 2000 was 17.5 percent, with a total number 22.75 million.