中国省份经济的全要素生产率分析

The Analysis of Provincial Total Productivity in China

本文首先利用非参数DEA-Malmquist指数方法估算出中国各省份1979～2003年间的全要素生产率增长、效率变化和技术进步率,从而对中国省份经济做全要素生产率分析,然后利用核密度估计对中国省份经济的相对劳动生产率、相对全要素生产率、相对效率和相对技术进步做分布动态演进分析。分析表明,中国省份经济增长差异较大且有逐步增大的倾向,主要由全要素生产率增长尤其是技术进步率差异较大且逐步增大所致。

This paper applies nonparametric DEA-Malmquist index approach to estimate total factor productivity growth, efficiency change and technological progress rate and investigates the dynamics of the whole distribution of relative labor productivity, relative total factor productivity, relative efficiency and relative technological progress by kernel density estimation for the period from 1979 to 2003 in 29 provinces in China. Our analysis indicates that provincial economic growth disparities hare been relatively enlarged and has been increasing, owing to the enlarged and the increasing of total factor productivity growth disparities, particularly technological progress rate disparities