人口红利与人口负债:数量界定、经验观察与理论思考

Demographic Bonus and Demographic Debt: Quantitative Delimitation,Empirical Observation and Theoretical Thinking

本文对人口红利与人口负债的概念、由来与数量界定进行了必要的理论阐述,构建了人口红利与人口负债的判别标准,对法国、日本与中国人口红利与人口负债演变的历史、现状与未来前景进行了比较分析,最后对人口红利与人口负债相关问题进行了理论上的探讨。

With theoretical discussions on demographic bonus and demographic debt, this paper constructs criteria for quantifying demographic bonus and demographic debt, and compares between China, Japan and France their past, present and future of demographic bonus and demographic debt. The paper concludes with theoretical considerations on some of the related issues in demographic bonus and demographic debt.