中国水文预报技术的发展与展望

Development and Prospects of Hydrological Forecasting Technique in China

介绍了我国水文预报技术在预报方法、预报系统建设和新技术应用等方面取得的进展,客观评 价了我国水文预报技术的水平,展望了我国水文预报技术的发展方向,指出了干旱、半干旱及无资料地 区或资料缺乏地区的水文模拟将是我国进一步提高水文预报技术的研究重点。

This Paper introduces the development of hydrological forecasting technique in China in the aspects of forecasting methods, forecasting system and new technique applications. The level of hydrological forecasting technique is valuated externally in this paper. Finally, it points out that the hydrological modeling in the arid and semi-arid regions and in the areas without data or data missing will be the key research of further promoting the hydrological forecasting technique in China.