摘要
在１９９４年６月中旬—７月中旬期间，江苏省气象台利用地方暴雨增强数值预报模式和实时资料进行了２４ｈ和４８ｈ降水预报业务试验，并对降水预报产品进行了分析和检验，给出了降水预报和实际降水量的对比结果，同时还给出了它们的客观评分值。结果表明：模式预报性能良好，效果较明显，基本上预报出了该时段内的降水过程。尤其是这段时间内长江下游出现断黄梅，遭受到６０年一遇的特大干旱，但模式仍较好地预报出了几次暴雨降水过程。由此可见。
Using an enhanced numerical forecasting model of local heavyrain and real data,the perational precipitation forecasting tests for 24,48h have been done in Meteorological Observatory of Jiangsu Province during the period of June 15 to July 16,1994. The forecasting results show that the model performance is quite well, the main precipitation processes in the poor Mei-yu year for past 60 years have basically been forecasted by the model. Their forecast results have heen analysed.
出处
《高原气象》
CSCD
北大核心
1996年第1期84-89,共6页
Plateau Meteorology
基金
国家"八五"攻关项目
