城市化对区域发展的经济绩效研究

THE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE STUDY OF URBANIZATION ON AREA DEVELOPMENT

在对全国和陕西省城市化基本情况分析的基础上,以全国31个城市和陕西省10个城市为研究对象,通过多元回归模型分析了城市化对不同区域经济发展以及对不同类型城市经济发展的影响。认为只有合理的城市化才能促进区域经济的发展,并试图提出适应不同经济发展水平的城市化道路及其发展对策。文章的主要结论包括:不同城市化因子对区域经济的贡献存在较大的区域差异,全国难以选择统一的城市化模式;不同城市化因子对不同等级规模城市的经济绩效存在明显的差异,反映了大中小城市在发展过程中应各有侧重。

The paper takes 31 cities in China anti 10 cities in Shaanxi province as research objects, based on the analysis of elementary urbanization conditions. At the same time, the author chooses four urbanization factors including the proportion of the non-agricultural population, the area of urban district, the area of road and the actually completed investment in fixed assets. With the method of multivariate regression model, it analyses the effects to the development of different regions and different kinds of cities which have been brought about by urbanization. It comes to a conclusion that only reasonable urbanization will result in the promotion of regional economic development. Furthermore, several urbanization ways and countermeasures adapting to various levels of economic development are also suggested as a try. The main points of the paper are as follows. First, with the reason that the contributions of each urbanization factor to regional economy are quite various in different areas, there isn＇t a uniform model that can be put forward for the whole country. Second, among cities with different scales, obvious differences of economic performance exist which is brought by each urbanization factor, and the direct result is that different kinds of cities should have their own focus of development.