长江三角洲地区人口入迁及城市化的区域经济因素分析:基于面板数据的研究

Influence of Regional Economic Factors on Immigration and Urbanization in the Yangtze Delta:A Study Based on Panel Data

以“人口迁移和人口就地非农化是中国城市化两种并行不悖的实现形式”为立论,运用面板数据模型方法,从人口入迁和人口非农化两个角度对影响中国长江三角洲地区城市化的区域经济因素做了分析。第二和第三产业产值比重对推动长三角地区城市化进程的作用显著;工资水平是影响长三角地区人口入迁的最重要因素;人均GDP虽然对长三角地区人口非农化的作用显著,但对人口入迁的作用是不确定的;外商直接投资和对外贸易依存度等开放经济因素对长三角地区城市化的作用非常有限。

Beginning with the viewpoint that migration and regional non - agriculturization are two side - by - side ways of Urbanization, this paper apply panel data method to analyze the economic factors＇ influence on the urbanization, both immigration and non- agriculturization , in the Yangtze Delta. It＇s proved that the proportion of secondary industry and tertiary industry are significant factors which influence urbanization in the Yangtze Delta, wage standard is important factor which affects the immigration in the Yangtze Delta, average GDP standard though significantly affects non -agricuhurization, its influence on immigration isn＇t clear and the influence of external economic factors, like foreign direct investment and ratio of dependence on foreign trade, on the urbanization in the Yangtze Delta is very limited.