紧凑城市与可持续发展的中国实证

Empirical Analysis on the Compact City and Sustainable Development in China

中国城市发展是走郊区化之路,还是高密度的紧凑城市之路,取决于紧凑城市是否有利于可持续发展。文章以紧凑城市与可持续发展的关联机制为基础,提出相应的测度指标,利用回归模型、典型相关分析方法对两者的关联性进行实证研究,结果发现城市越紧凑越有利于经济、环境和社会的可持续发展,但并未引起资源消耗的显著改善。结论对于我国建设紧凑型城市、促进可持续发展无疑具有重要的政策启示。

Whether the patterns of Chinese urban development should be suburbanization or compact city depends on the relationship between compactness and sustainable development. This study explores the correlative mechanism that compact city leads to sustainable development and selects some measuring indicators. Then by the methods of regression and canonical correlation, it analyzes the relationship between compact city and sustainable development. The results show that the more compact a city is, the more sustainable development the city is. In the end, it discusses some recommendations.