摘要
研制了荆江河段各站具体的洪水水位预报方案,并对预报方案进行了检验。研究表明:利用洪水预测的上下游相关法,建立荆江河段宜昌-枝城、枝城-沙市、沙市-城陵矶-石首、枝城-城陵矶-监利等水文预报站点的上下游相应水位关系曲线,能较好的预测荆江河段各预报站点洪水水位,并且通过对1969、1981、1983年3次洪峰过程试报的结果表明,该方案具有较好的适应性。
The idiographic forecasting scheme of water level in every station in Jingjiang reaches is discussed and the prediction result is tested. By means of upperstream and downstream correlation method of flood forecasting, upperstream and downstream relevant water level relationship of hydrological forecasting stations in Jingjiang such as Yichang-Zhicheng, Zhicheng-Shashi, Shashi- Chenglingji-Shishou, Zhicheng-Chenglingji-Jianli and so on, is established. It can well forecast flood water level of every forecasting station in Jingjiang. Through testing forecasting three flood peaks in 1969, 1981, 1983, this scheme shows good adaptability.
出处
《暴雨灾害》
2007年第4期348-351,共4页
Torrential Rain and Disasters
基金
中国气象局新技术重点推广项目"长江中游气象水文预报与服务系统研究"(CMATG2006Z08)资助
关键词
荆江
水文预报方法
相应水位法
Jingjiang
Hydrological forecasting method
Relevant water level method