中国的北极航线机会和威胁分析

Analysis of China's opportunities and threats on Arctic route

北极问题的焦点是北极航线权益的竞争。北极航线问题因为北冰洋的融化预期和随之而来的巨大利益而变得愈来愈重要。在分析北极航线问题的重要性的基础上,分析了中国开辟北极航线的机会和威胁。机会主要表现在北极航线的开辟能够降低我国企业的物流成本、北极航线具有巨大旅游价值、亚洲的高纬度港口将成为新的国际航运中心等方面;威胁主要表现在北极航线的价值属于资源拥有者、我国企业面对的竞争将更加激烈、中国的南北方经济将会受到不同影响等方面。进而提出了中国应采取的国家战略,并从中国航运企业的角度提出应对策略。

The focus of Arctic issues is the Arctic route rights and interests competition. With the mehing of the Arctic Ocean anticipation and the follow-up great interest, the Arctic route issue becomes more and more important. Based on the analysis of the importance of the Arctic route, this paper analyzes Chiua＇s opportunities and threats while opening up the Arctic route. The opportunities are mainly represented as： the Arctic route＇s exploring, it will reduce logistics costs for our companies; the Arctic route＇s great tourism value; and the high latitudes of Asia port will become a new international shipping centre, etc. While the threats are mainly represented as： the value of the Arctic route only belongs to resource owners; our companies have to face more intense competition; and different influences on economy between the north and the south of China, etc. Then the national strategies and counter strategies shall be implemented are put forward from the perspective of China＇s shipping companies .