旅游地适应性管理模式:一个演化博弈的视角

Tourism Area Adaptive Management Model:From Evolutionary Game Perspective

`对于旅游地可持续发展而言,不存在普适、静态、单一的最优管理模式,存在的只有与旅游地演化过程匹配与否的动态适应性管理模式。这一客观现实要求我们转变机械、静态、面向问题的传统思维方式,而以动态、演化思维范式来审视旅游地管理模式产生、演化与变迁过程,通过深入考察旅游地各博弈主体之间的利益所在和行为方式,结合旅游地演化规律和它所处的内外环境之间的耦合关系来确定旅游地特定阶段管理模式的关系与结构类型。有鉴于此,本文从动态博弈演化的角度初步探讨了旅游地适应性管理模式的概念和基本理论框架,并以旅游地结构、功能和演化过程的可持续性以及社会和经济的可持续性为目标构建了概念模型,从正面评价与反面动态监测两方面具体分析了其实施流程,从而使其具有了动态性、前瞻性与预测性。

There is no universal, static, a single optimal management model exists for tourism area sustainable development. What do exist are dynamic adaptive management model which matching with tourism area evolutionary process. This objective reality requires us to change machinery, static, traditional problem-oriented thinking way, and examine the generation, evolution and change of tourism area man- agement model with a dynamic, evolutionary paradigm, through in-depth study tourism game main bodies interests and behavior, combing with tourism area evolution discipline and its internal and external environment coupling relationship to determine specific type and structure of tourism management models. As a result, author bases on those researches and tries to build a tourism area adaptive management architecture which taking structure, function and evolution of sustainability and social and economic sustain ability as the goal and owning dynamic, forward-looking, predictive natures.