贵州省农村金融发展与农村经济增长关系的实证分析

Guizhou province countryside financial development and countryside economy growth relation's demonstrative analysis

本文以农村金融与经济增长相关理论为基础,阐述贵州省农村金融发展和经济增长现状,根据1978～2009年数据,通过协整检验说明贵州省农村金融发展农村经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,并建立VAR模型来考察金融相关率变动与第一产业值之间的动态影响关系。实证分析表明,与经济增长速度相比,贵州省农村金融发展程度相对滞后,贵州农村经济增长对农村金融发展的影响要大于金融发展对经济增长的影响,农村金融发展对经济增长的促进作用不明显。

Finance as the core of modern economy,financial development has played a significant role in the economic growth.A mass of research indicate that between the rural financial development level and economic growth in rural areas have a long-term stable equilibrium relationship,the rural financial development has stimulative effect for the rural economic growth.Based on the rural financial and economic growth of relevant theoretical basis,the method of econometrics,I make a empirical research for the relationship between rural financial development and economic growth in the guizhou province,the results show that： between short-term does not exist in long-term causality exists within an equilibrium,and combining with actual situation gives some policy Suggestions.