碳生产率、产业关联与低碳经济结构调整——基于我国投入产出表的实证分析

Carbon Productivity,Industrial Correlation and Low-carbon Economic Structure Adjustment——Empirical Analysis Based on Input-output Table in China

我国的碳生产率存在明显的行业差异,建立在碳生产率基础上的低碳经济结构调整虽然可以降低碳排放,但是由于经济系统存在复杂的产业关联,这种产业结构调整会对我国经济增长的稳定性构成较大的冲击。在进行产业结构调整时,既要考虑产业对经济增长的影响力,又要考虑产业对碳排放的影响力。运用投入产出数据,计算各产业的影响力系数和碳排放的影响力系数,综合考虑各产业对国民经济的影响力和碳排放的影响力,指出既可以降低碳排放、又可以保持经济增长稳定性的产业结构调整方向和策略。

There is industrial difference of carbon productivity.Low-carbon structure adjustment can reduce carbon emission,but it also shock stability of economic development because of industrial correlation.Adjustment should consider the impact on economic development and carbon emission.This paper calculates the influence coefficient and carbon emission influence coefficient based on china＇s input-output data.Through analysis of the two kind of coefficients,this paper points out the direction and countermeasure for lowering carbon emission and keeping stable economic development.