钱塘江下游断面水位预报

Downstream Water Level Forecasting of Qiantang River

钱塘江潮位受众多因素影响,预报方法非常复杂。该文分析了钱塘江下游澉浦、乍浦潮和芦潮港各站潮位主要影响因素与变化特征,分别建立了各断面高潮位预报模型,分析检验了各预报模型结构的合理性与效果。结果表明,所用方法结构合理、使用方便、效果满意。

Since the tide level of Qiantang river is effected by a lot of factors,it is very complicated for its forecasting.In this paper,the main factors and the variating characteristics of two sections,which named Gangpu and Zhapu,in the downsteam of Qiantang river were analyzed. The high tidal level forecasting model of each section was developped.The models were applied to analyze and check the rationality of the model structure. The results were satisfactory.