摘要
根据灌溉用水决策支持系统(DSS) 和实时配水的要求, 建立了霍泉泉源年出流量随机预测模型和月出流量实时预测模型。经分析表明,随机AR(p)预测模型较适合预测泉源的年出流量。
According to the demand of decision support system and real time water allocation for Huoquan Irrigation District,this paper presents a stochastic prediction model for yearly discharge and a real time prediction model for monthly.The case study indicates that the AR (p) model is appropriate for yearly discharge and the precision of monthly model is also satisfied.
出处
《水科学进展》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1999年第4期382-387,共6页
Advances in Water Science
基金
"九五"国家重点科技攻关项目!(96-006-02)
关键词
灌区
泉源
出流量
预测
irrigation district
spring
discharge
prediction