城市居民的二胎生育意愿及影响因素

Urbanite's Fertility of the Second Fetus and Its Impacting Factors in China

利用2007～2008年在上海和兰州两地采用分层多阶段概率抽样调查所获得的1347个城市被访样本资料,考察城市居民二胎生育意愿的影响因素及地区差异。研究结果发现,实行了30年的独生子女政策对人们的二胎生育意愿的抑制作用明显,独生子女政策实施后步入婚育的城市居民更多认为一个孩子就很好;现代化观念对二胎意愿具有重要影响,强调实现自我人生价值者更少赞同生育二胎。同时,城市居民二胎意愿的影响因素存在明显的地区差异,在上海,家庭收入水平较高者更希望生育两个孩子,而在兰州,有男孩偏好者更多认为两个孩子更理想。

Using the data from a survey conducted in Shanghai and Lanzhou（N=1347）in 2007-2008,this paper estimates the factors affecting the urbanits＇s fertility of the second fetus.The results show that people who married after 1979,or stressed self-value of life prefer to only one child.Besides that,people who have higher levels of family income in Shanghai as well as preference for boys in Lanzhou prefer to two children.