基于VAR模型的长三角地区城市的产业结构分析

Empirical Analysis of the Industrial Structure of the Cities in Yangtze Delta on the Basis of VAR Model

针对上海和长三角其他城市的产业同构问题,以及上海的产业发展现状,根据近三年的统计数据,通过产业分析的相关理论进行研究。此外,VAR模型实证结果表明产业间的联动性比较强,第二产业较第三产业对变动的影响更大。

According to industrial isomorphist problem in Shanghai and other cities in Yangtze river delta, and the present situation of Shanghai industry development, we have made some studies through the relevant theories of industrial analyses on the basis of the statistical data of recent three years. In addition, the VAR model results show that the linkage index is big and that the influence of the second industry uoon changes is stronger than the third industry