基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的北京市碳排放与经济增长相关性研究

Research on the correlation between the carbon emissions and the economic growth in Beijing city based on the environmental Kuznets curve

利用环境库兹涅茨曲线,对北京市1998—2009年人均碳排放与地区生产总值的相关性进行了研究,发现环境库兹涅茨曲线呈倒"N"型,而不是常规的倒"U"型。北京市碳排放之所以在不同时间段内呈现不同的升降趋势,是因为除经济增长外,其他因素,如产业结构、时代背景、相关政策法规的实施等也对碳排放造成影响。为了完成"十二五"规划任务,实现建设世界城市和宜居城市的目标,北京市应合理控制经济发展速度、努力推动节能减排和积极开发利用新能源。

Use of environmental Kuznets curve, Beijing 1998-2009 correlation between carbon emissions and GDP per capita was studied, found the environmental Kuznets curve is ＂N＂, rather than the conventional ＂U＂ type. Carbon emissions in Beijing is different ascending and descending trend during a different time period, because in addition to economic growth, other factors, such as the industrial structure, background, implementation of the relevant policies and regulations, also have an impact on carbon emissions. In order to complete the ＂Twelve-Five＂ planning tasks and achieve the goal of building cities and livable cities in the world, Beijing should be reasonably controlled economic development speed, and strive to promote energy-saving emission reduction and a positive development and utilization of new energy.