政府、开发商、农民与耕地违法:理论假说与经验证据

Government、Firms、Farmers and Illegal Arable Land: Theoretical Hypotheses and Empirical Evidence

各省违法耕地面积的大小受到多方面因素的影响,现有文献主要从政府的角度出发进行研究。政府在农地征收过程中固然起着关键性的作用,但开发商对土地的需求和农民自身的特征也会影响到耕地违法事件的发生。通过2002年到2009年的省级面板数据进行分析发现政府在耕地违法中确实起着重要的作用,(房地产)开发商对耕地的需求对耕地违法的影响并不显著,但是农民自身的一些特征对耕地违法同样起着一定的作用。分区域以及稳健性检验进一步的验证了农民自身特征会影响耕地违法的结论。

The illegal arable land are affected by many factors. The former literature mainly focused on the behavior of government. The government plays a key role In the process of land expropriation , but the demand of land from firms and characteristics of landless peasants may also affect the occurrence of illegal arable land. By the provincial panel data from 2002 to 2009, we found that the government dose play an important role in the illegal arable land, the demand of firms for land is not significant. But the characteristics of landless peasants may play some role in the process expropriation. Sub - regional and robustness test verify the characteristics of landless peasants may affect the illegal arable land.