摘要
本文从分析影响石油储备安全评价的石油供应、需求、风险和价格等因素的角度出发,建立了一个基于模糊综合分析法的石油储备安全评价体系,并根据专家打分法和中国石油能源的相关数据,进行了实证研究。研究结果显示供求因素是影响石油储备安全的重要方面,而供求矛盾的加剧和石油价格的不断走高,使我国石油储备的安全现状不容乐观。从而,进一步提出了要加强我国石油储备建设的建议。
Regarding the aspects of influencing oil reserves sources are that the petroleum supply, demand, risk and pric6, the paper has established one oil reserves safety evaluation system based on the fuzzy synthesis analytic method, and using the Delphi method with the Chinese petroleum energy data, the paper conducted the empirical study. The out findings showed that the supply and demand factor is the most important aspect of the oil reserves security. However the aggravating contradictory between the supply and demand, unceasing rise of the petroleum price, cause the security present situation of our countries" oil reserves to be unoptimistic. Thus, our country oil reserves system construction must be strengthened.
出处
《价值工程》
2012年第28期95-96,共2页
Value Engineering
关键词
石油储备
模糊综合分析法
安全评价体系
oil reserves
Method of Fuzzy Comprehensive Analysis
safety evaluation system