我国台风监测预报预警体系的现状及建议

The status and suggestions of the improvement in the typhoon observation,forecasting and warning systems in China

近年来,在全球气候变暖背景下,全球高影响台风事件频发,灾害影响日趋严重。在我国,以登陆台风为代表的极端天气事件呈明显增多的趋势,登陆台风的平均强度明显增强、强台风数量明显增多,台风登陆时间更加集中、登陆季节明显缩短。分析了我国台风灾害的特征及台风监测、预报预警体系的现状和存在的问题,提出了在我国经济社会快速发展时期加强我国台风监测预报预警体系的对策建议和措施。

In the background of global warming, high-impact tropical cyclone and disasters got severer all over the world. In China, severe weather represented by lan events dfalling occurred frequently typhoons is growing apparently. The landfalling typhoons tend to be more intense, and the number of severe landfalling typhoons is evi- dently increaseing. More landfalls are concentrated in a relatively short time, resulting in a significant decrease in the period of landfall activity. In this study, the characteristics of the typhoon-induced disasters in China are ana- lyzed ; the status and problems of typhoon observations, forecasting and warning systems are discussed. Suggestions and measures of the improvement in the typhoon observation, forecasting and warning systems during the period of rapid development of social economy in China are proposed as well.