珠江三角洲“城中村”(旧村)改造难易度初探

Measuring the Success Probability of Redevelopment of Urban Villages:A Case Study of Pearl River Delta

在国家日趋严厉的耕地保护政策背景下,珠江三角洲地区开始推进"三旧"改造以盘活低效存量建设用地。旧村改造中村民和开发商间的经济利益平衡是实现改造的基础条件,此外还须平衡地方政府对社会经济环境效益的追求。本文总结了广东现行的四种旧村改造模式,选择珠三角地区三个不同区位案例进行实证研究,提取四个重要影响因素,初步构筑了"城中村"改造的经济分析模型,提出了用"拆建比"判别"城中村"改造的难易程度的方法。

With the increasingly rigorous control of central government over the conversion of agricultural land, the reuse of current low-efficiently used built-up land through ＂three-old （non-agricultural villages, old factories and old urban district） remaking＂ is vigorously pursued in Pearl River Delta district. In the redevelopment ofviUages, both the balance of benefit between the sitting villagers and property developers and the local government＇s maintenance of public interest are vital. Four modes of village redevelopment in Guangdong Province are summarized through detailed studies of four eases in three different locations. Four important elements are extracted to form an economic model in which ＂ratio of the stock building area to the reconstructed＂ is proposed as an index to measure the success probability of redevelopment.