摘要
基于我国的贸易物流实践数据研究了两者的关系作用机制,首先为两者作用机制分析和模型构建的变量参数选择进行了研究,提出了将进出口贸易总额和港口货物吞吐量或货物海运运输量作为衡量评价指标,接着对国际贸易和国际物流的关系机制进行了实证研究,选取了GRANGER因果关系检验作为基本方法,数据来源上以国家统计局公布的2004-2010年间的数据为标准,进行了ADF检验和EG检验,最后得出结论,即物流对贸易的促进作用稍强于贸易对物流的促进作用。
in this paper, we first studied the selection of the variables and parameters of the mechanism and model of the trade practice and the logistics industry of China, proposed to use total volume of import and exporttrade and port throughput or maritime freight shipment volume as evalualion index and carried out an empirical study on the relationship mechanism between international trade and international logistics. At the end we reached the conclusion that the promotional effect of logistics on trade was greater than that of trade on logistics.
出处
《物流技术》
北大核心
2012年第12期314-316,共3页
Logistics Technology
关键词
贸易实践
物流产业
机制
实证研究
trade practice
logistics industry
mechanism
empirical study