印度能超越中国吗?——基于扩展的C-D生产函数和Malmquist指数的实证分析

Whether India Can Surpass China : An Empirical Analysis

作为两大新兴经济体,中国和印度经济的高速发展成就瞩目。通过在对两国GDP规模,资本效率、劳动生产率和能源强度等指标分析的基础上,通过建立扩展的C-D生产函数和Malmquist指数对两国经济的增长质量进行分解分析。结果显示,相比于印度,我国资本及能源对经济增长的贡献率较大,而劳动的贡献率水平较低;技术进步对全要素劳动生产率的影响明显,两国全要素生产率的贡献率分别为26.27%和16.44%,仍未摆脱要素投入型的经济增长方式。因此,加强各资源要素的优化配置,提升全要素生产率,对改善我国经济发展质量意义重大。

As two major emerging economies , both China and India have attracted worldwide attention with their outstanding achievements.An extended C-D production function and Malmquist index is established to analyze the scales of GDP , capital efficiency , labor productivity and energy intensity indexes of China and India.The result shows that China , compared to India , has a bigger contribution rate of capital and energy to its economic growth , a lower level of labor contribution rate and more obvious technological effects on productivity.And to strengthen the optimal allocation of resource elements will help enlarge China's advantage of development vis-a-vis India.