2013年1月中国大面积雾霾事件直接社会经济损失评估

An evaluation of the economic loss due to the heavy haze during January 2013 in China

基于2013年1月期间全国20个受到雾霾事件影响的省市的公开报道数据,综合采用直接损失评估法、疾病成本法和人力资本法,对雾霾事件造成的交通和健康直接经济损失进行评估.评估结果显示,2013年1月雾霾事件造成的全国交通和健康的直接经济损失保守估计约230亿元,其中损失最大的省市主要分布在东部和京津冀区域;雾霾事件中仅急/门诊的健康终端的经济损失占总直接损失的98%,相当于现有文献研究结果中对非雾霾事件情况下颗粒物污染造成的所有健康终端损失的近2倍.

The heavy haze during January 2013in China has drawn public attention worldwide. Based on the available data reported in the media, we evaluate the direct economic loss due to the heavy haze during this period. The results find a lower bound of the total direct cost on health and transportation attributed to the heavy haze is 23 billion Chinese Yuan, among which the east cities and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China suffered the most. The cost due to increased outpatient and emergency accounts for 98% of the total direct economic cost of the event, and is nearly twice as much as the total cost of health impacts attributed to particulate air pollution in non-haze events estimated in the literature.