产业集群升级与区域产业转型的互动关系——基于协整及VAR模型的实证分析

Interactive Relationship of Industry Cluster Upgrade and Regional Industrial Transformation——Empirical Analysis Based on Co-integration and VARModel

为了研究产业集群升级与产业转型之间的关系，本文在建立产业集群升级与区域产业转型相应指标体系的基础上，基于我国30个省市2001～2010年度的面板数据，运用面板数据VAR的计量分析方法，对产业集群升级与区域产业转型之间的互动关系进行了研究。研究结果表明：产业集群升级与区域产业转型之间存在双向的因果互动关系，但同时也具有一定的滞后性。因此，既可以通过区域转型来带动产业集群的升级，也可以通过产业集群升级来促进区域产业的转型。

On the basis of establishing the index system of regional industrial transformation and upgrading of industrial clusters , this article does the granger causality test of regional industrial transformation and upgrading of industrial clusters based on the panel data of 2001~2010 in 30 cities and provinces in China to study the relationship between them . The results show that regional industrial transformation and upgrading of industrial clusters is a two -way causal relationship , and they has a certain lag . So we can not only through regional transformation to cause upgrading of industrial clusters , but also through the upgrade of industrial cluster to promote regional industrial transformation .