人口流动背景下农民工婚姻稳定性的影响因素分析

Determinants of the Marriage Stability among Migrant Workers in the Context of Migration Population

基于2016年农民工社会融合与婚姻家庭调查数据,从流动经历视角探讨了农民工的婚姻稳定性状况及其影响机制。农民工的婚姻存在较高的不稳定性,其中流动模式、流动距离和通婚距离对农民工婚姻稳定性具有显著影响。具体而言,单身流动、跨省流动和跨省通婚会显著增加农民工的婚姻不稳定性,非传统的性别意识也会提高农民工的婚姻不稳定性,而婚姻满意度则有助于降低农民工的婚姻不稳定性;同时,单身流动、跨省通婚和性别意识会部分地通过影响农民工的婚姻满意度而影响其婚姻稳定性。可见,人口流动增加了影响农民工婚姻稳定性的风险因素。

With the data from"2016 Social Integration'Marriage and Family Survey",this paper explore the state of marriage stability and its mechanism among migrant workers from the per-spective of migration experience. The study finds there is high level of marriage instability a- mong migrant workers. Migration style, migration distance and intermarriage distance are found to be significandy related to marriage stability. Migration alone., interprovincialmigration and in-terprovincial intermarriage would increase the level of marriage instability among migrant worker significandy ; less traditional gender role attitudes would also increase the level of marriage insta-bility among migrant worker significandy ; and marriage satisfactory would increase marriage sta-bility. Meanwhile, the study also finds that marriage satisfactory play the mediating effect on marriage stability and migration alone, interprovincial intermarriage and interprovincialniigration. Population migration increases the risk factors on marriage stability among migrant workers.