论特朗普的搅局与世界经济秩序的逻辑

On Trump's Disruption and the Logic of World Economic Order

世界经济秩序源自于制度性安排,取决于自由经济逻辑与平衡发展的政治逻辑的选择。双边贸易到多边贸易是市场逻辑与资本便利化需要,并受行政主体的价值取向与规制工具化左右。从市场逻辑与政治逻辑分析行政主体的价值取向与规制工具化,从国家类型层面探讨单边主义到双边贸易体制,再到多边贸易规则的演进,可以发现特朗普主义者发展经济的逻辑。特朗普以实用主义态度过度地选择规制工具化策略,本质上意在搅局世界经济秩序,违背国际贸易深层逻辑。因此,中国须把握世界经济局势,发挥大国优势与韧性,正确应战,避免陷入"特朗普陷阱"。

The world economic order originates from institutional arrangements and depends on the choice between the logic of free economy and the political logic of balanced development.Bilateral trade to multilateral trade is the need of market logic and capital facilitation,which is influenced by the value orientation and regulatory instrumentalization of the administrative subject.By analyzing the value orientation and regulation instrumentalization of administrative subjects from market logic and political logic,discussing the evolution logic of unilateralism,bilateral trade system and multilateral trade rules from the level of country type,it is easy to discover the logic problems of Trump's economic development.Trump excessively chooses the regulatory instrumentalization strategy with a pragmatic attitude in order to disturb the world economic order and violate the deep logic of international trade.Therefore,China should grasp the world economic situation,give full play to the advantages and resilience of the big powers,respond correctly and avoid falling into the"Trump trap".