产业结构升级视角下财政支出的环境效应

On Environmental Effects of Fiscal Expenditure from the Perspective of Industrial Structure Upgrading

利用中国1997～2015年30个省级地区的面板数据,对产业结构升级视角下财政支出的环境效应进行检验和机制分析。研究发现:财政支出既存在直接的污染效应,也会通过产业结构升级加剧污染;第二产业内部结构合理化会导致环境污染加剧,但产业结构高级化有显著的污染减排效应;财政支出对产业结构升级产生抑制作用,偏重于扶植第二产业。因而,调整财政支出结构、优化产业政策和以市场化为主的产业结构升级等措施有利于中国的生态文明建设。

Using the panel data of 30 province-level regions in China from 1997 to 2015,the environmental effects of fiscal expenditures from the perspective of industrial structure upgrading are tested and mechanically analyzed. The study finds that fiscal expenditure has direct environmental pollution effects,and it will also produce pollution effects through industrial structure upgrading. Although industrial structure rationalization in secondary industry has certain environmental pollution effects,industrial structure advanced has significant pollution reduction effects. The local governments’ fiscal expenditure will have an inhibitory effect on the upgrading of the industrial structure,with emphasis on supporting the secondary industry. Therefore,adjusting the structure of fiscal expenditure,optimizing industrial policies,and upgrading the industrial structure based on marketization will be conducive to China’s development of an ecological civilization.