21世纪中国农业可持续发展面临的严峻形势及对策取向

Rigid Situation Facing China's Sustainable Development of Agriculture and Strategy Orientation

中国农业的可持续发展在21世纪面临着严峻的形势。本文从经济、生态和社会3个方面分析了对中国至关重要的“可持续的食物安全保障”问题。指出农民生产积极性的保持和不断有所提高至关重要;而通过提高资源利用率及实现可再生资源对农用资源的部分替代,以及打破农业的集约化与环境退化之间的连锁,则是可持续发展的关键。为此,须开展有中国特色的“多重绿色革命”。

China's sustainable development of agriculture is facing rigid challenges in 21st century. This paper analyzed the issue of sustainable food security that is uttermost important for China, based on the economic, ecological and social perspectives. It is pointed out that how to persist and raise peasants' incentives is of paramount importance for economic sustainability of agriculture. And the upgrading of efficiency of resources and the realization of substitute renewable resources for agro-inputs that are usually non-renewable, while the breaking of 'deadlock' between agricultural intensification and the environmental degradation are regarded as the key rings. For these reasons, a strategy of 'multiply green revolution' is proposed.