种粮大户土地规模经营及其影响因素研究——基于安徽等5省的调查数据

Large-scale land management and influencing factors of large-scale grain-production households: Based on survey data from five provinces

基于安徽、江西、广西、江苏和河南5个省155份种粮大户的调研数据发现,种粮大户数量和土地规模在2007年之后呈爆发式增长,土地流转以非完全市场方式、非固定地租为主,有正式合同的土地流转规模更大、租金更高、租期更长,大户资金压力问题较普遍,更多尝试采用企业方式组织生产。根据种粮大户的调查数据,进一步从土地流转和经营方式两方面选取10个变量运用logistic回归模型分析种粮大户土地规模经营的影响因素,结果表明:正式契约、公司经营、补贴有非常显著的正向影响,而资金借贷和家庭农场经营有正向影响但不显著;土地年租金、租金确定形式、租入方式、租赁期限有极显著或者显著的负影响;成立合作社对经营规模有负影响但不显著。

The survey based on the research of 155 large-scale grain-production households in Anhui, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Jiangsu and Henan provinces found that the number of large-scale grain-production households and land scale had explosive increased after 2007; the main land transfer ways were the imperfect market and non-fixed land rent; with formal contract, there were much larger land transfer scale, higher rents and longer leases; large-scale grain-production households normally had financial pressure and most of them tried to adopt the way of company production. According to the large grain farmers＇ survey data and ten variables selected further from the land transfer condition and the way of operation, impact factors of their land operation scale were analyzed using logistic regression models. The result shows that the impact of the formal contract, company operation and subsidies has a highly significant positive impact, while loan funds and family farm business have a positive but not significant impact. Annual land rent, fixed rents, the way of land transfer and land lease term have an extremely significant or significant negative impact; cooperatives have a negative but not significant impact.