关于东亚国际体系转型方向的思考

Perceptions on the Transition of East Asia International System

东亚作为大国比较集中的地区,其发展和稳定备受瞩目。而在地区大国的互动过程中,未来的东亚国际体系将向哪个方向转型,更是世人关注的焦点。从体系结构、体系制度、体系文化等国际体系转型的要素出发,探讨东亚国际体系的转型方向表明,若以均势体系为转型方向,长远来看不利于中国的发展以及东亚地区的稳定;协调体系在理论上要优于均势体系,在东亚地区也有一定的适用性,可以作为未来东亚国际体系转型的方向。中国所提出的新型大国关系、新安全观、命运共同体等理念符合东亚地区的长远利益,因此中国可以引领东亚国际体系向协调、稳定、共生的方向转型。

East Asia,as a concentrated area of great pow ers,has drew much attention for its development and regional stability. In the interactions among large countries,the direction of East Asian international system is a particular focus of w orld attention. From the aspects of the structure,institution,and culture of international system,this paper discusses the direction of the transition of East Asian international system. The Balance System is not conducive to China's development and stability of East Asia in the long run; the Concert System,w hich is theoretically more advantageous than the Balance System and also has some applicability in East Asian,can be taken as the future direction of East Asian international system restructuring. China proposed a new type of relationship among great pow ers,a new perception of security,and a new concept of 'community of common destiny'w hich may serve the long-term interests in East Asia.Therefore,China could lead the international system to the coordinate,stable,symbiotic direction transition.