政府城市发展意志与中国区域城市化空间推进——基于《政府工作报告》视角的研究

Government Will and Spatial Force in China's Urbanization

中国区域城市化绝非简单的人口空间转移,政府推进城市化建设的意志很大程度上具有主导作用。借助2002-2013年中央和地方《政府工作报告》,本文以相关有效关键词词频对政府意志进行描述,并构建空间面板模型阐释政府意志影响城市化推进的作用机制和空间传递渠道。结果表明:区域城市化推进具有显著时空异质格局;中央和地方政府意志呈现明显分异特征,致使实践分化为"市化"和"镇化"两条道路;政府意志作用发挥依赖于产业、投资和人口三种支撑渠道,人口跨区域流动是决定政府意志得以贯彻实施的空间驱动力量。以新视角重新审视区域城市化,政府的意志调整和实践约束将重塑城市化空间格局,但其作用发挥并非是无条件的,政府意志安排更需"因地制宜"和"顺势而为"。

The governments＇ will has significant effect on China＇ s regional urbanization. This paper, using valid keywords frequency statistics of urbanization in the ＂Government Work Report＂ during 2002-2013 ,explains the impact mechanisms and spatial transmission channels of regional urbanization. Results show that ： spatial-temporal heterogeneity of urbanization exists significantly ; governments＇ will effects are of significant heterogeneity from central to local government; government will play a role depends on the industry, investment, and population＇ s supports, and the population flows across regions is the key spatial driving force. Re-examining urbanization process, the governments＇ will adjustment and practical constraints will reshape regional urbanization pattern, but its action is not unconditional. Exogenous will arrangement need to ＂adjust measures to local conditions＂ and ＂do things according to macroeconomic situation＂.