上海市竞技体育实力的特征研究——基于第10～12届全运会获奖奖牌的统计分析

Study on Characteristics of Competitive Sports Strength in Shanghai——Based on the Statistical Analysis of 10～12 National Games Won Medals

采用文献资料法、数理统计法和逻辑分析法,从结构特征、性别特征、参赛人数特征和项群特征对上海市竞技体育在第10-12届全运会获得奖牌进行统计分析。结果表明：上海市竞技体育在近三届全运会竞技实力逐渐加强,游泳、击剑、田径、射击、足球、体操、帆船、跳水、自行车、排球和赛艇是上海市获得奖牌的主要项目;男子和女子获得奖牌比例相近,竞技实力旗鼓相当;单人项目是上海市竞技体育在近三届全运会上获得奖牌的主要项目,集体项目是上海市获得奖牌的次要项目,双人项目上海市获得奖牌的弱势项目;技能主导类项群与体能主导类项群竞技实力相近,速度性项群是上海市获得奖牌的核心项群,表现难美性、表现准确性、耐力性、同场对抗和隔网对抗项群是上海市获得奖牌的辅助项群。

This article using the method of literature,mathematical statistics,logical analysis,analysis the medal distribution of Shanghai sports delegation during the 10-12National Games which according to traits of structure,sex,participating number and item group.Result shows that Shanghai sports delegation competitive strength soared up during recent games.the medalgainer events have swimming,fencing,track and field,shoot,gymnastics,sailing,dive,bicycle,volleyball and rowing;proportion of male and female medal gained matched;single-event are the dominant event during last three National Games,group events belong to secondary and double-events as weakness event.The competitive strength between physical power-dominant group and skill-dominant group closely,physical power-oriented speeding event occupy the main part of medal number.Minor group included skill oriented events with difficulty and beauty,antagonism events and stamina events.