气候变化对我国农业生产的影响研究进展

Research Process on the Effect of Climate Change About the Agricultural Production of China

农业是人类社会经济发展的基础,也是对气候变化最敏感的领域之一,任何微小的气候变化都会对农业生产带来潜在或显著的影响。随着全球气候变化的不断持续,气候的异常变化对我国农业生产影响越来越大。当前气候变化对农业生产影响的研究主要集中在农业生长潜力、农业气候资源环境、农业种植制度和结构等方面,均不同程度地对我国粮食安全、农业经济造成损失。因此,科学合理的深入研究气候变化对我国农业光、温、水、土壤等农业生产要素的影响,揭示农业气象灾害和病虫害发生的机理,分析和模拟气候变化对我国农业生产的影响具有重大的科学价值和现实意义。采用文献综述和比较研究的方法,探讨了气侯变化对农业生产影响的主要研究方法以及气候变化对农业生产潜力、农业生产环境、种植制度、农业经济的影响,指出了当前气候变化对农业生产影响研究中存在的问题,提出了今后的研究方向。

Agriculture is the base of human society and economic development,and one of the most sensitive and vulnerable sectors to climate change,any degree of climate change would have potential and significant effect on agricultural production and its related process.With the continuous development of global climatic change,abnormal meteorology is disadvantages on agricultural production.The current research on the effect of climate change about agricultural production is organized around agricultural growth potential,climate resources and environment,planting system and structure and so on.The effect of climate change was researched on thoroughly systematic about the key elements of agricultural production such as light,temperature,soil quality and water environment.Examination of these issues may provide insights into the impact mechanism between agrometeorological disasters and occurrence of crop pests.It was of great scientific and practical significance to analyze and simulate the impacts of climate change on agricultural production in China.Through literature review and comparative studies,the main research methods of the impact of climate change on agricultural production were discussed,and the impacts of climate change on agricultural production potential,agricultural production environment,cropping system and agricultural economy were discussed,at the same time,some current problems in these studies were also found,and some key scientific problems were proposed in the future study.