战时航空弹药消耗需求实时预测仿真

Real-time Prediction Simulation of Air Ammunition Consumption Demand in Wartime

对战时航空弹药消耗需求的预测,能够有效提高航空战斗效率。对战时航空弹药消耗需求的实时预测,需要对达到毁伤指标所需弹药数量进行计算,获得初始交战双方的射速毁伤系数,完成战时航空弹药消耗需求的预测。传统方法结合新备件需求预测法,对需求发生的时间和非零需求时的需求量值进行计算,但忽略了对交战双方的毁伤系数的获取,导致预测精度偏低。提出基于LE的弹药消耗需求实时预测方法,对火力毁伤的任务量、标准弹药和火炮口径区分与匹配、弹种的区分和还原等数据进行采集,对LE中各个参数进行计算,利用标准化理论获得初始交战双方的射速以及毁伤系数;得到实际作战时需要供给的弹药数量,其中,弹药换算的阈值,可提升航空弹药消耗需求实时预测精度,能耗控制参数可对预测所需能耗进行良好地控制。实验表明,所提方法不仅提高了弹药需求预测准确性,还降低了预测能耗。

To predict the consumption demand of ammunition in wartime can make aviation combat be more efficient. In traditional methods, the prediction accuracy is too low. The real -time prediction method for consumption and demand of ammunition based on LE was proposed in this article. Firstly, some data such as the number of task of firepower damage, the division and matching between standard ammunition and artillery caliber, the differentiation and reduction of ammunition type were collected, and the parameters of LE were calculated. Then, the standard theory was used to obtain the initial rate of fire and damaged coefficient between belligerent parties. Meanwhile, the quantity of ammunition that needs to be supplied was obtained. Therein, the threshold of ammunition conversion can improve the real - time prediction accuracy of consumption and demand of aviation ammunition. Thus, the energy consumption control parameters can control the energy consumption for prediction well. Simulation results show that the proposed method not only improves the prediction accuracy for ammunition demand, but also reduces the energy consumption of prediction.