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工业化与城市化关系的经济学分析 被引量:410

An Economic Analysis of the Relationship between Industrialization and Urbanization
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摘要 本文通过国际比较和实证分析 ,认为中国的城市化并没有严重滞后于工业化。城市化率的上升与工业产值比重上升的相关性较低 ,而与非农产业就业比重变化的相关性较强 ,中国的问题在于工业化的偏差而不在于城市化的偏差。从理论上说 ,应当以非农产业的就业比重来衡量工业化与城市化的关系 ,并以加快服务业发展和就业结构升级作为工业化与城市化协调发展的中心内容。从宏观政策看 ,需要实现农村工业化向城市工业化的战略性转变 ,在改革。 By international standards, urbanization does not lag far behind industrialization in China. The degree of non agricultural employment affects urbanization more than does the proportion of industrial output in the national economy. The problem for China lies in wayward industrialization, and not urbanization per se. Theoretically, the relationship between industrialization and urbanization should be measured by the ratio of employment in the non agricultural sector. Balanced development between them hinges on accelerating the development of service industries, and upgrading the employment structure. In terms of macroscopic policy, a strategic shift has to be made from rural to urban industrialization. Coordination between industrialization and urbanization should be one of the aims of reform and opening up.
出处 《中国社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2002年第2期44-45,共2页 Social Sciences in China
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