英国脱欧进程不确定性的消极影响

The Negative Impact of the Uncertainty of the Brexit

英国脱欧是当前欧盟面临的最为严重的危机之一。英国脱欧公投通过之后,英国内部政党就此争夺不止,纷争加剧,造成严重的政治动荡、社会撕裂,并且,英国脱欧刺激了欧洲大陆民粹主义力量的发展,对欧洲的安全稳定构成威胁。英国脱欧前景的不确定性也对英国乃至欧洲的经济都造成负面影响,构成影响欧洲经济下行的重要因素,从而构成影响欧洲社会稳定的重要因素。从表面上看,英国脱欧引起的英国内部的纷争以及民粹主义力量在欧洲的崛起、欧洲政治国家化的发展趋向和西方政党制度有很大的关系,但实际上这是西方现代民主政治发展的必然结果。西方民主政治发展使精英政治受到普遍质疑和反抗,民粹主义力量的发展必然引起欧洲政治的再国家化,从而对欧洲一体化构成严重负面影响。

Brexit is one of the most serious crises facing the EU. After the Brexit referendum was passed, the UK's domestic political parties have brawled with each other, causing serious poetical turmoil and social divisions. Moreover, Brexit stimulated the development of the populist forces in the European continent, which threatened the security and stability of Europe. The uncertain Brexit prospect also has a negative impact on the British and European economy and constitutes an iinportant factor aHecting the downturn of the European economy and undermining the stability of the European society On the surface, the British internal disputes and the rise of tlie populist forces in Europe due to Brexit, and the development trend of European political nationalization have a great relationship with the Western political party system, but in fact this is the inevitable result of the Western modern democratic politics. The development of Western democratic politics has produced widespread criticism and resistance of elite politics. The dexelopnient of populist forces will inevitably lead to the re-nationalization of European politics, which will have a serious negative impact on European integration.