人力资本和流动人口对于区域经济增长差异的影响研究——基于2011-2015年度江浙沪地区数据的实证分析

Research on the Influence of Human Capital and Floating Population on Regional Economic Growth Differences:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Data of Jiangsu,Zhejiang and Shanghai within 2011-2015

区域经济协调发展的内涵是区域差异的缩小。江浙沪地区经济基础较好、产业布局成熟、政策体系完善,是我国高质量发展的示范。为研究劳动力在静态和动态两个水平上对区域人均经济增长率差异的影响,分别从人力资本和流动人口两个角度进行研究。选取江浙沪地区2011-2015年度129个区县的面板数据,创新地将空间关联相关指标作为中介变量考虑在内,以局部空间自相关指数为线索指标,利用固定效应模型进行面板回归。研究结果发现,缩小江浙沪地区的人均经济增长率的差异,着眼教育投入和劳动力素质比依赖流动人口红利更有效。提出对照相邻区域和加大教育投入的政策建议。

The connotation of coordinated development of regional economy is the reduction of regional differences. Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai have a good economic foundation, mature industrial layout and perfect policy system, which is a demonstration of China' s high-quality development. The purpose of this paper is to study the influence of labor on the difference of regional per capita economic growth rate at both static and dynamic levels, respectively, from the perspectives of human capital and floating population. In this paper, 129 district and county panel data of Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai from 2011 to 2015 are selected. Spatial correlation indexes are taken into account as intermediary variables innovatively. Local indicators of spatial association ( LISA) index is used as clue index, and fixed effect model is used for panel regression. The results show that to reduce the difference of per capita economic growth rate in Jiangsu ,Zhejiang and Shanghai, focusing on education investment and labor quality is more effective than relying on the dividend of floating population. Policy suggestions such as benchmarking on adjacent areas and increasing investment in education are put forward.